The remodeling activity report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University predicted a slight upward trend in the latter part of 2012, although home improvement spending will lag in the first two quarters.
The Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA), which measures the annual rate of change in consumer spending on renovations, projects $108.1 billion in the first quarter of 2012, a 2.5% decrease. The second quarter, with a projected $110.2 billion in projected spending, is a negative 3.5% drop on the LIRA index.